Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 14.753027 16.541420 18.480746 20.743129 23.313900 26.148819 29.518086
2025-05-25 12.275556 14.708044 17.544084 21.107651 25.483672 30.704673 37.439567
2025-06-01 10.417729 13.227910 16.720051 21.408573 27.584072 35.502700 46.525532
2025-06-08 8.973422 12.001378 15.986433 21.669583 29.654691 40.605846 56.988560
2025-06-15 8.051291 11.295114 15.797065 22.590232 32.736143 47.574880 71.378535
2025-06-22 7.035260 10.295085 15.037523 22.565052 34.447095 52.878325 84.421308
2025-06-29 6.109225 9.283142 14.099901 22.103718 35.392088 57.154295 96.715669
2025-07-06 5.404855 8.502537 13.390831 21.867736 36.625699 62.071033 111.084814
2025-07-13 5.012904 8.157050 13.312041 22.636013 39.653588 70.550216 133.664792
2025-07-20 4.673306 7.848002 13.242808 23.396184 42.778720 79.756664 159.720959
2025-07-27 4.314178 7.456176 12.973255 23.744207 45.181208 88.020444 185.787002
2025-08-03 3.920041 6.951831 12.434628 23.499648 46.375126 94.078760 208.523494
2025-08-10 3.554513 6.464986 11.883314 23.183395 47.446936 100.256661 233.530457
2025-08-17 3.236915 6.030633 11.377596 22.886120 48.518544 106.679049 260.938859
2025-08-24 2.973714 5.670145 10.970864 22.735050 49.892048 114.091083 292.994404
2025-08-31 2.751245 5.364226 10.635271 22.686892 51.497162 122.406199 329.938518
2025-09-07 2.624339 5.236963 10.651365 23.423725 55.106008 136.502003 387.610535
2025-09-14 2.431169 4.949524 10.291653 23.240448 56.414530 144.922969 431.050556
2025-09-21 2.227452 4.617396 9.795189 22.659349 56.603662 150.366702 466.916440
2025-09-28 2.065307 4.358265 9.430718 22.346315 57.446193 157.844439 512.020294
2025-10-05 1.990456 4.284952 9.481124 23.083080 61.304892 175.074069 597.235524
2025-10-12 1.920417 4.214751 9.529997 23.824300 65.330175 193.827426 695.276472
2025-10-19 1.830441 4.088598 9.429855 24.154639 68.224435 209.735252 788.678430